Monday, May 4, 2009

Hammy Trade: CPE

Bought 475 CPE at 2.00.


The limit order was for 750, but it only executed for 475. The rest might come in, or it might not. Here's the chart:


CPE breakout.png


It made about a 60% price move from the base of the last consolidation to the base of this triangle. I see price action going up another 60 percent to about 3.20. Significant supply at 2.40 and 3.50


My assumptions are that CPE just broke out of a bullish triangle/flag continuation pattern and will repeat its prior price movement. This assumption will be proven wrong if it breaks down below the ascending triangle line, currently at about 1.78


UPDATE: Sold at 2.46. Here's the chart and reasoning why:




CPE chart.png


To measure price implications of triangles, from the text book:


“Draw from the Top of the first rally that initiated the pattern (in other words, from its upper left-hand corner) a line parallel to the Bottom boundary. This line will slope up away from the pattern to the right.Prices may be expected to climb until they reach this line. Also, as a rule, they will climb, following their breakout from the pattern, at about the same angle or rate as characterized their trend prior to their entering the pattern. “


No comments:

Post a Comment

 



script type="text/javascript"> var gaJsHost = (("https:" == document.location.protocol) ? "https://ssl." : "http://www."); document.write(unescape("%3Cscript src='" + gaJsHost + "google-analytics.com/ga.js' type='text/javascript'%3E%3C/script%3E"));